Douglas
Adams and the law of unitended consequences
So long then Douglas
Adams. I know I will not be the only one who will
miss your brilliance, humour and insight. I have
Douglas Adams to thank for a very embarrassing
involuntary nasal explosion in the British Library
Reading Room from trying to stifle a laugh while
reading one of his books.
I have spent the
last few Sunday mornings listening to his excellent
series on Radio Four on the digital revolution.
The insight which really rang true to me, whether
it is about technology, the internet or business
in general is his Law of Unintended Consequences.
Perhaps the clearest
example of the Law in action is the advent of
the personal computer. This was a largely unforeseen
bi-product of the NASA space programme, but has
had a far greater impact on humankind than man
walking on the moon ever did.
The Internet is
also a superb example of this Law. It was originally
conceived by the US military to protect communication
in the event of nuclear war. The delightful and
wholly unintended irony is that it is now one
of the greatest threats to US national security.
The Law has been
hard at work during the dot com bonanza. Countless
companies have rushed online looking for new customers
only to find a huge array of nimbler competitors
and their old customers demanding lower prices.
I was talking to a Bank last week about their
website. It was originally conceived to sell products
online, but they’ve found its most common
use is for online credit checks. Customers would
rather get rejected in the comfort of their living
room rather than a crowded bank branch.
In fact, the Law
applies wherever new product development takes
place (I would also make it required studying
for any scientist engaged in cloning or GM research).
Companies should be very wary of investing large
sums of money into developing new products in
a vacuum. Too often their supposedly grateful
public has a nasty habit of ignoring the best
technology or putting it to wholly unforeseen
uses. We’ve been developing a new product,
but have been careful to actually work with a
few clients on it before unleashing it on the
world.
I also have one other
piece of Adams wisdom to pass on which I think also
applies to business; If you are lost when driving,
follow the driver in front as they will know where
they are going.